Liverpool FC - three seasons of data.
How did the reigning champions regress so sharply? The analysis spans Slot's title-winning first season, his troubled second, and Klopp's final year as the baseline - using SportsMonks match statistics and Understat per-shot xG across 114 fixtures.
Something broke in year two.
xG/match fell 29% from Klopp (2.49 → 1.77). Shot volume, shot quality, and set-piece output all declined. Two datasets point to the same conclusion.
Published analysis.
Liverpool's xG decline isn't bad luck
Liverpool's attacking xG fell from 2.49 (Klopp) to 1.77 (Slot Y2) - a 29% drop across the full 38-match season. Shot volume declined, shot quality...
Analysis by Gaurav Ahlawat, data analyst. Liverpool FC is the first project in an ongoing series covering the Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, and Serie A. Analysis code on GitHub.